2014 round population projections

Published by:
Greater London Authority
Last updated:
09 November 2017
Topic:
Society
Licence:
None

Summary

IMPORTANT NOTE: These projections have been superceded, please see https://data.london.gov.uk/demography/ for the latest GLA projections.   Four variants of local authority level population projections and one ward-level projection are available: • Trend-based projections based on short-term (five year) trends in migration • Trend-based projections based on long-term (twelve year) trends in migration • Housing-linked projections incorporating data from the 2013 Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA), short term migration trends and using the Capped Household Size projection model • Housing-linked projections incorporating data from the 2013 SHLAA, long-term migration trends and using the DCLG-linked projection model • Ward projections consistent with the SHLAA Capped Household Size model.  A visualisation of these projections can be viewed here . A note outlining the key differences between the various projection methodologies can be found here . The GLA's 2014 round of projections is its first to fully incorporate the results of the 2011 Census, with underlying migration data updated using commissioned origin-destination tables. Notes: • The short-term migration scenario bases the volume of migration flows on estimates for the period mid-2009 to mid-2013. Age and sex characteristics for domestic flows are based on origin-destination data from the 2011 Census. These projections are intended to be used where accuracy in the near term is important. • The long-term migration scenario bases the volume of migration flows on estimates for the period mid-2001 to mid-2013. Age and sex characteristics of domestic flows are based on a combination of origin-destination data from both 2001 and 2011 Censuses. These projections are intended to be used for longer-term strategic planning purposes. Household projections consistent with these projections are available here . The custom-age population tool page is here . *updated 14/04/2015 to correct minor errors in the 2012 and 2013 birth and death inputs

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Link to the data Format File added Data preview
Landing page HTML 23 March 2017 Not available
update-03-2015-2014rnd-trend-proj-results-data XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
borough_SHLAA_capped_AHS_short_term_2014rnd.xlsx XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
borough_trend_long_term_2014rnd.xlsx XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
update-04-2015-2014rnd-trend-proj-methodology-data XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
ward_shlaa_capped_ahs_short_term_2014round.xlsx XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
borough_SHLAA_DCLG_long_term_2014rnd.xlsx XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
borough_trend_short_term_2014rnd.xlsx XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
update-04-2015-2014rnd-trend-proj-methodology PDF 23 March 2017 Not available
borough_trend_short_term_detailed_outputs_2014rnd XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
borough_trend_long_term_detailed_outputs_2014rnd XLS 23 March 2017 Not available
update-03-2015-2014rnd-trend-proj-results PDF 23 March 2017 Not available

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